#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which app will hold the number two spot on Apple's paid iPhone app chart in the US on a specific date. A 'Yes' for HotSchedules means that employee scheduling app is sitting at rank two at noon on July 31, 2026. A 'Yes' for Shadowrocket means a VPN-style network tool holds that spot instead. SkyView is a stargazing app that could also take it. Only one answer wins, whichever app is literally in second place on that chart at that exact moment. The market settles based on one specific snapshot: the number two app on Apple's official Top Paid Apps chart for US iPhones, checked at exactly 12:00 PM Eastern Time on July 31, 2026. The resolver will visit the App Store chart directly using the link provided. There is no averaging over days or weeks. It is purely that single moment. If an app surges or drops right before noon, that matters. The chart Apple shows at that precise time is final. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market. They cover financial short interest reports and unrelated topics. The kind of news that would actually matter here is a viral app suddenly climbing the paid charts, a major app going temporarily free or paid, or coverage of HotSchedules, Shadowrocket, or SkyView gaining or losing popularity in the weeks before July 31. App store charts can shift quickly and unpredictably. A single viral moment, a price change, or a promotion can push an app up or down the chart within days. The market prices HotSchedules at 87%, suggesting it currently holds or is near that rank, but chart positions are not locked in. The snapshot rule adds extra sensitivity: even a brief ranking change around noon on July 31 could decide the outcome. That real-world volatility is the main source of genuine uncertainty here.

The odds right now

• HotSchedules87%
• Shadowrocket10%
• AnkiMobile Flashcards3%
• SkyView3%
• TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome3%
• Procreate Pocket1%
• Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.