Ethereum price on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking where Ethereum's price will land on July 21, 2026, grouped into price ranges. Right now, almost all the probability is split between two neighboring brackets: $1,800 to $1,900 (roughly 48%) and $1,900 to $2,000 (roughly 49%), with a small slice on $2,000 to $2,100. In plain terms, the market is really asking one narrow question: will ETH be just below $1,900, or just above it, at noon that day? Settlement is determined by one single data point: the closing price of Ethereum against the US dollar on Binance, recorded at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 21, 2026, using the one-minute candlestick chart. Whichever price range that number falls into is the bracket that resolves as Yes. Only Binance ETH/USDT counts, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. If a price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, it goes to the higher one. Any other outcome resolves as No. None of the provided news headlines relate to Ethereum or cryptocurrency markets. The stories cover milk prices in India, airline fares, oil diplomacy, and stock market moves in South Asia. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments worth watching would be major Ethereum network upgrades, broad crypto market moves, regulatory announcements, or large shifts in overall investor sentiment toward risk assets. The market is pricing two adjacent brackets almost exactly 50/50, which means even a small price swing between now and July 21, 2026 could flip the outcome. Crypto prices can move sharply on short notice due to news, macro sentiment shifts, or large trades. On top of that, resolution depends on a single one-minute snapshot at noon, so a brief price spike or dip right around that moment could override the general trend of the day. Over a year-long horizon, that uncertainty compounds considerably.

The odds right now

• 1,900-2,00080%
• 1,800-1,90019%
• 2,000-2,1002%
• 1,700-1,8001%
• 1,600-1,7000%
• <1,4000%
• 1,400-1,5000%
• 1,500-1,6000%
• 2,100-2,2000%
• 2,200-2,3000%
• >2,3000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.