Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: how hot will Atlanta get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it asks which two-degree range will contain the single highest temperature of that day, measured at the airport. A reading of 90 or 91°F means the most popular outcome happened. A reading of 92 or 93°F means it was a hotter-than-typical summer day. A reading of 88 or 89°F means the day stayed a bit cooler than most people expect for Atlanta in late July. The market settles based on the peak temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport on July 21, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the highest single reading of that day is, in whole degrees Fahrenheit, determines which range wins. The data is locked in once the first reading of July 22 is published. Any corrections Weather Underground makes before that cutoff count, but changes after it do not. There is no human judgment involved, just the number on that page. None of the provided news headlines relate to Atlanta weather or summer temperature forecasts. No relevant recent news was shared for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal forecast from NOAA or the National Weather Service commenting on whether summer 2026 is tracking hotter or cooler than normal across the Southeast United States. Late July in Atlanta is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters tightly around 90 to 93°F, but weather is genuinely hard to pin down more than a day or two ahead. Cloud cover, humidity, rain earlier in the day, or an unexpected front can shift the peak by several degrees. The gap between ranges is just two degrees, so a small forecast error changes the outcome completely. July 21, 2026 is still over a year away, meaning no meaningful forecast exists yet.

The odds right now

• 92-93°F49%
• 90-91°F34%
• 94-95°F14%
• 88-89°F7%
• 96-97°F1%
• 86-87°F1%
• 84-85°F0%
• 98°F or higher0%
• 79°F or below0%
• 80-81°F0%
• 82-83°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.