Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Atlanta get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at the official weather station at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, and which two-degree range that peak reading falls into. A Yes on '86-87°F' means the hottest moment of that day lands somewhere in that band, roughly a typical warm summer afternoon in Atlanta. The other ranges cover slightly cooler or hotter outcomes. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson Airport weather station on July 24, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the single peak reading is for the whole day, whichever range contains it wins. The number is rounded to the nearest whole degree. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 25 appears before it finalizes, giving time for any last-minute corrections to the July 24 data to be counted. The two news headlines provided are not related to Atlanta weather, climate conditions, or anything that would affect this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would matter is a forecast for Atlanta around July 24, or news of an unusual heat event or cool front moving through the southeastern United States. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and July 24, 2026 is still in the future. Atlanta in late July is reliably hot, but the exact peak on any single day depends on cloud cover, humidity, wind, and whether a storm passes through. The market spreads its weight across a fairly narrow band of outcomes, with 86-87°F leading at 33% and 84-85°F close behind at 30%, meaning even the top choice reflects real uncertainty. A single degree can shift which range wins.

The odds right now

• 84-85°F31%
• 86-87°F31%
• 88-89°F14%
• 82-83°F13%
• 80-81°F4%
• 90-91°F4%
• 92-93°F1%
• 78-79°F1%
• 76-77°F1%
• 94°F or higher0%
• 75°F or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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