Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Lucknow get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Lucknow's main airport. You pick a temperature range, and if the actual peak matches it, that answer wins. A result of 33°C, for example, means a very warm but typical July monsoon-season afternoon, while 31°C would mean a cooler, more overcast day. The market settles using Weather Underground's records for the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station in Lucknow. Whatever the single highest temperature reading is for July 22, 2026, rounded to a whole number in Celsius, determines which range wins. The result can only be confirmed after the first data point from July 23 appears on that site. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a monsoon forecast for Lucknow around July 22, since heavy cloud cover and rainfall during India's monsoon season typically keep peak temperatures lower, while a break in the monsoon can push them higher. July 22 is deep inside Lucknow's monsoon season, and that is the core challenge. Monsoon conditions are genuinely hard to forecast more than a few days out, let alone a year ahead. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind patterns on that specific day can shift the peak temperature by several degrees. The market spreads its odds across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C fairly evenly, which reflects that real uncertainty honestly. No strong favorite has emerged.

The odds right now

• 32°C38%
• 33°C30%
• 31°C18%
• 34°C or higher11%
• 30°C4%
• 29°C1%
• 28°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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