Highest temperature in Seoul on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Seoul get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day, measured in whole degrees Celsius, at the weather station located at Incheon International Airport. The current crowd favorite is 29°C (about 84°F), followed by 28°C and 30°C. Think of it as picking the peak afternoon temperature on that one summer day. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at the Incheon Airport weather station on July 22, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the peak reading is that day, rounded to a whole degree Celsius, determines which temperature wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 23 appears before finalizing, giving time for any last-minute corrections to July 22 readings to be captured. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the date is still over a year away, there is no weather data or forecast for July 22, 2026 yet. The kind of development that would eventually matter is any extended seasonal forecast for South Korea's summer of 2026, or historical data showing typical July highs at Incheon Airport. Predicting the exact peak temperature over a year in advance is genuinely very hard. Even professional forecasters struggle beyond two weeks. July in Seoul is typically hot and humid, so the 28-30°C range is historically plausible, but heatwaves can push temperatures several degrees higher and cooler cloudy days can bring them lower. The market is spread across multiple close outcomes, which reflects real uncertainty. A single weather system passing through on that specific day could shift the result by several degrees.

The odds right now

• 29°C36%
• 28°C28%
• 30°C20%
• 27°C14%
• 31°C or higher4%
• 26°C3%
• 25°C1%
• 24°C0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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