Lowest temperature in Miami on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how cool will Miami get overnight into July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single lowest temperature reading of the whole day at Miami International Airport. The options are ranges: the coolest band (76-77°F) means a slightly more comfortable night, while the warmest band (80-81°F) means the city barely cools down at all, which is common in deep summer Miami. It settles on whichever temperature range contains the lowest reading recorded at Miami International Airport (station KMIA) on July 24, 2026, using Weather Underground as the official source. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. The market locks in once the first data point for July 25 appears on that site, so any corrections published before that cutoff count, but changes after do not. No recent news directly relevant to Miami's July 24 weather forecast was provided. The one Miami-adjacent headline mentions scientists moving endangered coral ashore ahead of a feared heatwave, which hints at an expectation of hot conditions in South Florida, but that is background context rather than a specific forecast for this date. Miami in late July is reliably hot and humid, which is why the market clusters around the warmer ranges. The main uncertainty is that overnight lows vary by several degrees depending on wind, cloud cover, and whether any moisture shifts move through. A typical summer night sits in that 79-81°F zone, but brief dips are possible. The question is essentially how much, if at all, the city cools before sunrise, and that is genuinely hard to know more than a day or two out.

The odds right now

• 80-81°F42%
• 78-79°F33%
• 76-77°F12%
• 82-83°F12%
• 84-85°F2%
• 74-75°F2%
• 72-73°F1%
• 86-87°F1%
• 88°F or higher1%
• 70-71°F0%
• 69°F or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.