MLB: 2026 National League Champion: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which team will win the National League in 2026, meaning: which NL team will survive the playoffs all the way to the final round and win the National League Championship Series, earning a spot in the World Series. A Yes on a specific team means that team wins the NL pennant. A No means they were eliminated at some point before or during that final series. The Dodgers are the current favorite, with the Brewers and Braves also listed. The market settles on whichever team wins the 2026 National League Championship Series, the best-of-seven playoff round that decides the NL pennant. If a listed team is eliminated at any point in the playoffs, that team resolves No right away. The deadline is November 1, 2026. One edge case worth knowing: if the series is cancelled or pushed past that date with no winner declared, everything resolves to a special category called 'Other' rather than Yes or No. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market. They cover topics like mathematics, housing, and cultural events, with no connection to MLB or the teams listed. To follow this market, the developments worth watching would be team performance through the 2026 regular season, injuries to key players, and which teams qualify for the postseason. Baseball playoffs are genuinely hard to predict this far out because so much can change: injuries, mid-season trades, and simple randomness in short playoff series all play a big role. The market puts the Dodgers at 45%, reflecting their recent dominance, but even strong favorites lose in baseball's postseason. The Brewers at 20% and Braves at 12% represent real possibilities. With the regular season still ongoing, roster situations remain fluid, which keeps all probabilities in motion.

The odds right now

• Los Angeles Dodgers-2.5 pts (1w)42%
• Milwaukee Brewers+1.8 pts (1w)19%
• Atlanta Braves12%
• Philadelphia Phillies-1.0 pts (1w)9%
• Chicago Cubs-0.5 pts (1w)7%
• St. Louis Cardinals+0.5 pts (1w)2%
• Pittsburgh Pirates-0.5 pts (1w)2%
• Arizona Diamondbacks+0.3 pts (1w)2%
• Miami Marlins-0.7 pts (1w)1%
• Washington Nationals-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• San Diego Padres-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• New York Mets-0.5 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.