SC-07 House Election Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: will the winner of South Carolina's 7th congressional district seat in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections be a Republican or a Democrat? A Yes for Republicans means a Republican candidate wins that seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. A Yes for Democrats means a Democrat wins it instead. SC-07 is a district in coastal South Carolina, covering the Myrtle Beach area, and it has been reliably Republican-leaning in recent cycles. This market settles based on who actually wins the November 3, 2026 election for SC-07. The winner's party is determined by what is listed on the ballot, or by which party they say they will caucus with if no clear label exists. The market resolves once credible news outlets reach a consensus on the result. If there is any dispute, the official Federal Election Commission results become the final word. There is no provision for early resolution. None of the provided recent headlines relate directly to the SC-07 race. One headline does mention that Republicans are seeing "scary" internal data ahead of the midterms broadly, which is worth noting as general context: national political headwinds can sometimes affect even safe districts. But no SC-07 specific news, candidate announcements, or polling was provided. The kind of development worth watching for would be a notable candidate filing, a primary result, or district-level polling. The market is heavily one-sided, priced at roughly 94% for Republicans, so this is not really a close call by the market's current assessment. The main honest uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that picture: a strong Democratic candidate, a national political wave, a Republican scandal, or a surprisingly competitive primary. Those things are possible but would need to overcome a district that has leaned Republican by wide margins. The question is not so much "who leads" as "how unusual would an upset need to be."

The odds right now

• Republican Party+2.0 pts (1w)94%
• Democratic Party-2.0 pts (1w)6%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.