Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of July?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether SpaceX's stock price will be above a specific dollar threshold when the market closes on the last trading day of July 2026. There are three separate price levels being tracked: $90, $100, and $110. Each one is its own question. A 'Yes' means the stock finished that day above that price. A 'No' means it closed at or below it. The higher the threshold, the harder it is to reach. Settlement is simple: look at the official closing price for SPCX on the last trading day of July 2026, as shown on Yahoo Finance's historical prices page. If that number is strictly above the listed price, it resolves Yes. If it is equal to or below that price, it resolves No. Stock splits would be accounted for using adjusted prices. Even a shortened trading session counts, and if there is a halt, the last valid trade price is used instead. No relevant news about SpaceX or SPCX was provided. The one headline available is about a French furniture company, which has no connection to this market. If you are watching for developments that would matter here, look for news about SpaceX launches, government contracts, regulatory changes, or broader stock market movements that could affect the share price between now and July 31, 2026. The market currently prices the $90 threshold at 97%, $100 at 95%, and $110 at 85%, so the crowd sees these as quite likely outcomes. Because the odds are this high, the main honest uncertainty is not a two-sided debate, it is simply whether something unexpected happens: a market crash, a major SpaceX setback, a trading halt, or a regulatory shock. That kind of event is unlikely by definition, but it is the real thing that could flip any of these to No.

The odds right now

• $90-5.1 pts (1w)89%
• $100-6.5 pts (1w)89%
• $110-5.9 pts (1w)85%
• $120+9.5 pts (1w)60%
• $130-10.0 pts (1w)41%
• $140-32.0 pts (1w)19%
• $200-29.5 pts (1w)11%
• $180-11.4 pts (1w)10%
• $150-14.0 pts (1w)8%
• $160-18.9 pts (1w)6%
• $170-39.0 pts (1w)4%
• $190-38.0 pts (1w)3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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