What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Amazon's stock price will touch specific price levels at any point during July 2026. There are three separate price targets: $232, $224, and $216. For each one, the question is simply: did Amazon's stock reach that price or higher, even for a single minute, during regular trading hours in July 2026? A Yes means it touched or crossed that level. A No means the stock never got there during that month. Each price target resolves Yes if Amazon's stock hits that price or above during any single minute of regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on any day in July 2026. The data source is Pyth, a financial data service that tracks one-minute price intervals. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count. If Amazon does a stock split before or during July 2026, the target prices are adjusted proportionally, so the spirit of the question stays the same. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would be Amazon's earnings reports, major announcements about its cloud business (AWS), shifts in the broader stock market, or any news about a potential stock split, since that would trigger an adjustment to the target prices listed here. Stock prices over a multi-month horizon are genuinely hard to predict. The market currently prices $232 at 89%, $224 at 59%, and $216 at 27%, which tells you the crowd sees the higher targets as much harder to reach. But a lot can change between now and July 2026: broader economic conditions, interest rate decisions, Amazon's own earnings, and general market sentiment all play a role. The main honest uncertainty is that a year-plus window is a long time, and surprises, in either direction, are always possible.

The odds right now

• ↓ $232+62.0 pts (1w)87%
• ↓ $224+44.0 pts (1w)57%
• ↓ $216+27.5 pts (1w)35%
• ↑ $264-47.0 pts (1w)20%
• ↓ $208+12.0 pts (1w)17%
• ↑ $280-15.6 pts (1w)11%
• ↓ $200+6.0 pts (1w)10%
• ↑ $272-32.3 pts (1w)7%
• ↑ $288-21.3 pts (1w)4%
• ↓ $192-0.3 pts (1w)2%
• ↓ $184-1.4 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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