What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch a specific dollar level at any point during August 1, 2026. There are several separate price targets listed, each its own market: one asks if Bitcoin will reach at least $62,000, another at least $64,000, and another at most $61,000. A Yes means Bitcoin touched that level even briefly during the day. A No means it never did. Each market settles based on one day of trading data: August 1, 2026, from midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time. The price is checked on Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair, using one-minute candle data. For the upside markets ($62,000 and $64,000), it resolves Yes if any single one-minute candle's high price reaches or exceeds the target. For the downside market ($61,000), it resolves Yes if any candle's low price touches or goes below that level. Only Binance data counts, not other exchanges. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Bitcoin's price on August 1, 2026. The articles cover unrelated stocks and funds. For a market like this, the things worth watching would be major crypto regulatory news, large macroeconomic announcements, or significant moves in broader financial markets that tend to influence Bitcoin's price. Bitcoin is genuinely difficult to predict on any specific day. Its price can swing thousands of dollars within hours based on news, large trades, or shifts in market sentiment. The current market odds are very low across all three price targets, meaning the market currently sees each individual level as unlikely to be touched on that exact day. The main uncertainty is simply whether an unexpected event causes a sudden spike or drop that crosses one of these thresholds.

The odds right now

• ↓ 62,00031%
• ↓ 61,0004%
• ↑ 64,0002%
• ↓ 60,0001%
• ↑ 65,0000%
• ↑ 66,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%
• ↓ 58,0000%
• ↓ 56,0000%
• ↑ 71,0000%
• ↑ 70,0000%
• ↓ 57,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 2, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.