What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch a specific level, either above or below, during one particular week in late July and early August 2026. There are three separate price targets being tracked: $62,000 (will Bitcoin drop to or below it?), $66,000 (will Bitcoin rise to or above it?), and $60,000 (will Bitcoin drop to or below it?). Think of it like asking: how far will Bitcoin's price swing this week, in either direction? Each target resolves Yes the moment any single one-minute price candle on Binance's BTC/USDT chart touches that level during the window from 12:00 AM ET on July 27 to 11:59 PM ET on August 2. For the upside target ($66,000), the candle's high price must reach it. For the downside targets ($62,000 and $60,000), the candle's low price must touch or fall below them. Only Binance BTC/USDT data counts. Other exchanges or trading pairs are ignored, even if they show a different price. None of the provided news headlines are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price this week. There are no crypto-specific stories in the recent news supplied. The kind of developments worth watching would be: major macroeconomic announcements, U.S. regulatory news about crypto, large exchange movements, or broad market volatility events that tend to push Bitcoin sharply in one direction. Bitcoin is genuinely hard to predict over any short window. A single week is enough time for a sharp move in either direction, or for almost nothing to happen. The market currently prices the $66,000 upside at around 42% and the $62,000 downside at around 53%, suggesting participants see a modest downward lean, but neither outcome is close to certain. Crypto prices can be moved quickly by news, sentiment shifts, or large trades that nobody anticipates, which makes any short-term price target genuinely uncertain.

The odds right now

• ↓ 62,00070%
• ↑ 66,00038%
• ↓ 60,00032%
• ↓ 58,00011%
• ↑ 68,00010%
• ↑ 70,0005%
• ↓ 56,0004%
• ↑ 72,0003%
• ↓ 54,0002%
• ↓ 52,0002%
• ↑ 74,0001%
• ↑ 76,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 3, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.