What price will Bitcoin hit on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels on July 24, 2026, and there are actually three separate price targets being tracked: $65,000, $66,000, and $64,000. A Yes on any one of them means Bitcoin's price reached that level at least once during the day. A No means it never got there. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer will hit a certain mark at any point during the day, not just at the end. Each price level resolves Yes if, at any single minute during July 24 (midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time), Bitcoin's high touches or goes above that price, or its low touches or goes below it, on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair specifically. Only Binance data counts. Other exchanges or trading pairs are ignored. The bar is low in one sense: Bitcoin only needs to graze the target for one minute, not stay there. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets on July 24, 2026. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments that would matter are major macro announcements, regulatory news, large exchange events, or sudden shifts in crypto market sentiment. Bitcoin is famously volatile, which cuts both ways: it can move thousands of dollars in a single day, making even a distant price target reachable, or it can stay range-bound and miss a nearby target entirely. The three targets here sit fairly close together, and the current odds suggest the market sees $65,000 as quite likely to be touched, $66,000 as a coin flip, and $64,000 as less probable but not remote. The biggest unknown is simply that crypto prices can move sharply on news that nobody sees coming.

The odds right now

• ↓ 65,00068%
• ↑ 66,00061%
• ↓ 64,00019%
• ↑ 67,00015%
• ↓ 63,0003%
• ↑ 68,0002%
• ↓ 62,0001%
• ↑ 69,0001%
• ↓ 61,0001%
• ↓ 60,0001%
• ↓ 58,0001%
• ↑ 71,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.