What price will Bitcoin hit on July 27?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch a specific level on July 27, 2026. There are three separate price targets shown: $64,000, $66,000, and $63,000. Each one is its own question. A 'Yes' means Bitcoin's price reached that exact level or beyond at any point during the day. A 'No' means it never got there. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer will touch a certain mark anytime during the day, not just at the end. Each price target resolves based on Binance's BTC/USDT data only, looking at one-minute price candles throughout July 27, from midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time. For the upside targets ($64,000 and $66,000), it resolves Yes if any single one-minute candle's highest point touches or exceeds that number. For the downside target ($63,000), it resolves Yes if any candle's lowest point touches or goes below it. Only Binance counts. Other exchanges or trading pairs do not. None of the recent headlines provided are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price movement on July 27. One notable piece of context is that US-Iran tensions appear to have eased over the weekend, which pushed oil and gold prices lower. Broadly, when geopolitical risk cools, it can shift how investors feel about assets like crypto, but the direct connection to Bitcoin's price on this specific day is not clear from the news given. Bitcoin is genuinely hard to pin to a specific price on a specific day. The market prices $64,000 at 32%, $66,000 at 7%, and $63,000 at 3%, suggesting participants see a wide range of possible outcomes with no single level being a strong favorite. Crypto prices can swing sharply within hours due to large trades, news, or automated activity. The resolution also uses the highest and lowest points of every minute, meaning even a brief spike counts, which adds extra sensitivity to short, sudden moves.

The odds right now

• ↑ 66,0005%
• ↓ 64,0004%
• ↑ 67,0000%
• ↓ 63,0000%
• ↑ 72,0000%
• ↑ 71,0000%
• ↓ 62,0000%
• ↑ 69,0000%
• ↓ 61,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%
• ↑ 73,0000%
• ↑ 70,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.