What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Netflix's stock price will touch specific dollar levels at any moment during July 2026 trading hours. There are both upside targets (like $90) and downside targets (like $60 and $65). A Yes on the $90 target means the stock climbed that high at least once in July; a Yes on the $65 target means it dipped that low at least once. These are not predictions about where the stock closes or averages, just whether it briefly touches a price level on any given minute. Each target price resolves Yes if, during any single minute of normal trading (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) in July 2026, the stock's recorded high or low touches the listed number, even briefly. The data comes from a service called Pyth, which tracks one-minute price snapshots. Pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count. If Netflix does a stock split, the target prices are adjusted to match. The market closes August 1, 2026. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would include Netflix's quarterly earnings reports, subscriber growth announcements, broader stock market movements, or any major company news that could shift the share price significantly in either direction. Stock prices can move sharply on earnings surprises, broader market swings, or unexpected company news, making even short-term price targets hard to call. The $65 target sits at 26% odds, meaning the market sees a real but minority chance of a notable drop. The $90 target is priced at just 3%, reflecting how unlikely a sharp rise is seen to be. The main unknown is simply whether something unexpected, a strong earnings beat, a market selloff, or sector news, pushes the stock outside its current range.

The odds right now

• ↓ $65-2.5 pts (1w)27%
• ↓ $60-4.9 pts (1w)5%
• ↑ $90-12.6 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $45+0.1 pts (1w)2%
• ↑ $80-41.4 pts (1w)2%
• ↓ $40-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $100-1.1 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $95-5.9 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $105-0.8 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $85-24.4 pts (1w)1%
• ↓ $55-2.9 pts (1w)1%
• ↓ $50-1.2 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.