What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how high Tesla's stock price will climb during July 2026. There are three separate price targets: $330, $345, and $360. For each one, the question is simply: will Tesla's stock touch that price, even briefly, on any normal trading day in July 2026? A Yes means it reached that level at least once. A No means it never got there. The targets are independent, so Tesla could hit $330 but not $360, for example. Each target resolves Yes if Tesla's stock price reaches or exceeds that number at any moment during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time) on any day in July 2026. Even a single one-minute window where the price touches the target is enough. The data comes from a service called Pyth, which records prices minute by minute. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count. If Tesla does a stock split, the target prices adjust automatically to match. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching would be Tesla earnings reports, news about vehicle sales, updates on Elon Musk's other business activities, broader stock market movements, and any changes in electric vehicle policy or competition that could move the stock significantly in either direction. Stock prices are genuinely hard to predict over a multi-month horizon, and Tesla is one of the more volatile large company stocks. The market currently prices the $330 target at 24%, the $345 target at 37%, and the $360 target at 54%, reflecting real uncertainty at each level. Tesla's price can swing sharply on a single news event, a quarterly earnings report, or a shift in overall market conditions. Any of those could push the stock well above or below these targets before July even begins.

The odds right now

• ↓ $360+12.0 pts (1w)54%
• ↓ $345+2.0 pts (1w)28%
• ↓ $330+2.5 pts (1w)17%
• ↑ $435-19.0 pts (1w)14%
• ↓ $315+3.0 pts (1w)10%
• ↓ $300+3.5 pts (1w)8%
• ↑ $450-12.5 pts (1w)4%
• ↓ $285+2.1 pts (1w)4%
• ↑ $465-8.0 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $270+0.1 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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