What price will XRP hit in August?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether XRP's price will touch specific levels during August 2026, with three separate price targets to consider. The options are $1.00, $1.20, and $1.40. A 'Yes' for any of these means XRP's price reached that level at least once during August, even briefly. A 'No' means it never touched that price for the entire month. Right now, the market puts the highest chance on XRP staying at or above $1.00, with lower confidence it reaches $1.20 or $1.40. Each price target settles independently based on one specific data source: the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance. The market checks the high and low prices of every single one-minute price candle from August 1 at midnight ET through August 31 at 11:59 PM ET. If even one candle's high touches or exceeds the target price, that level resolves Yes immediately. Prices from other exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken, or other trading pairs, do not count. Only Binance XRP/USDT data matters here. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to XRP or cryptocurrency prices. There is no recent crypto-specific news to draw on here. The kinds of developments worth watching would include major regulatory decisions about XRP or Ripple, broad crypto market moves, changes in trading volume, or significant macroeconomic news that tends to move risk assets like crypto. Crypto prices are genuinely difficult to forecast even days ahead, let alone over a full month. XRP in particular can move sharply in short bursts, so even a brief spike could trigger a 'Yes' on a lower target. The $1.00 level is priced at 57%, meaning the market sees it as a coin-toss-plus. The $1.40 target at 8% reflects how much harder a large price move is to count on. Broader market sentiment, regulatory news around Ripple, and general crypto trends could all shift the picture quickly.

The odds right now

• ↓ 1.0057%
• ↑ 1.2036%
• ↑ 1.408%
• ↓ 0.807%
• ↑ 1.604%
• ↓ 0.603%
• ↑ 2.603%
• ↑ 1.802%
• ↑ 2.002%
• ↑ 2.402%
• ↑ 2.202%
• ↓ 0.401%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.