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What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

68%economyUpdated just now

What you need to know

This market asks whether Amazon's stock price will reach specific price targets during one trading week. There are three separate targets: $240, $236, and $232. For each one, 'Yes' means Amazon's stock touched that price at least once during normal market hours that week, and 'No' means it never got there. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer will hit a certain mark at any moment across five days, not just where it closes. Each price target resolves Yes if Amazon's stock hits that level, even briefly, during any single minute of regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) between July 20 and July 24, 2026. The data comes from a service called Pyth, which records minute-by-minute price data. Pre-market and after-hours moves do not count. If Amazon does a stock split during this period, the target prices are adjusted to match. If Pyth has a technical outage, official exchange data is used as a backup. The only news item provided mentions a media and music photo agency, which has no clear connection to Amazon's stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be Amazon earnings announcements, major economic data releases, or broad market events that could move tech stocks significantly in either direction. The three targets sit at different difficulty levels, which is why the odds are so different: $232 at 18%, $236 at 42%, and $240 at 74%. The main honest challenge is that a week of stock movement is genuinely hard to anticipate. Amazon's price can swing on broader market news, economic reports, or company-specific headlines that nobody sees coming. Even the highest-priced target at 74% has meaningful uncertainty, meaning the market still sees a roughly one-in-four chance it does not happen.

The odds right now

  • ↓ $24068%
  • ↓ $23633%
  • ↓ $23214%
  • ↑ $26012%
  • ↑ $25611%
  • ↑ $2646%
  • ↓ $2284%
  • ↑ $2723%
  • ↓ $2243%
  • ↑ $2683%
  • ↓ $2202%

Price history

↓ $240

68%+18.0%

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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