What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether the price of natural gas futures will touch specific levels during the trading week of July 20, 2026. There are three price targets on the table: $3.00 per million BTU (the most popular, at 59%), $2.80 (a lower level, at 22%), and $3.10 (a higher level, at 16%). Each target is a separate yes-or-no question about whether the price will briefly reach that level at any moment during the week, even for just one minute. Each target resolves Yes if a one-minute price candle, meaning the high or low recorded in any single minute of trading, touches or crosses the listed price during the week of July 20, 2026. The week runs from 6:00 PM ET Sunday July 19 through 5:00 PM ET Friday July 24. The price data comes from Pyth, a real-time data feed. The key edge case: it does not matter where the price closes or averages. One single minute of touching the target is enough to resolve Yes. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to natural gas prices. The articles cover a literary piece and flooding events in India, which do not directly connect to this market. The kinds of developments that would actually matter here include U.S. weather forecasts affecting air conditioning demand, storage report releases from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, and any supply disruptions from major producing regions. Natural gas is one of the most volatile commodity markets, and a single week is a very short window, which cuts both ways. Weather is the biggest wild card: an unexpected heat wave or a cooler-than-forecast week can swing prices sharply. Storage data releases can also cause sudden moves. The market currently prices the $3.00 touch at 59%, reflecting it as the most plausible outcome, but the other two targets together account for about 38%, meaning the range of realistic outcomes is genuinely wide over a one-week horizon.

The odds right now

• ↑ $3.0059%
• ↓ $2.8022%
• ↑ $3.1016%
• ↓ $2.704%
• ↑ $3.203%
• ↓ $2.602%
• ↑ $3.302%
• ↓ $2.402%
• ↓ $2.302%
• ↑ $3.402%
• ↓ $2.502%
• ↑ $3.501%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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