Will Squid launch a token by ___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether a crypto project called Squid will release its own official token that people can actually buy and sell on the open market, before a specific deadline. A 'Yes' means Squid launches a real, tradable token in time. A 'No' means it either never launches one, launches it too late, or releases something that doesn't qualify, like a stablecoin or memecoin. Think of it as: does Squid join the large group of crypto projects that have their own coin? To settle as Yes, Squid must officially launch a token that is actively and publicly tradable before midnight Eastern Time on the deadline date. An announcement, a whitepaper, or a promise is not enough. The token also cannot be a stablecoin, memecoin, liquid staking token, or synthetic token. Only a genuine, original Squid token counts. The market will check Squid's official account on X (formerly Twitter) and credible crypto news sources to confirm. No specific recent news about Squid or a potential token launch was available for this market. The kind of development worth watching for would be any official announcement from Squid about tokenomics, an airdrop, or a launch date, as those signals typically precede an actual token release. The main tension here is timing, not necessarily whether it happens at all. The market already prices the March 2027 deadline at 85%, meaning participants broadly expect a token eventually, but the earlier deadlines are less certain because crypto project timelines often slip. Squid could announce a token and then delay the actual launch. There is also the question of whether what launches qualifies under the strict rules, since memecoins and certain other token types are explicitly excluded.

The odds right now

• March 31, 2027-9.4 pts (1w)85%
• December 31, 2026-8.0 pts (1w)81%
• October 31, 2026-6.5 pts (1w)69%
• September 30, 202662%
• August 31, 2026-2.0 pts (1w)46%
• July 31, 2026-8.0 pts (1w)5%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves March 31, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Squid officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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