Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether the sky over Reykjavík will be clear enough on August 12, 2026 to get a good view of the total solar eclipse. A Yes means the sky is mostly clear or only lightly cloudy at the key moment. A No means thick cloud cover blocks the view, the way an overcast day hides the sun completely. It settles on one number: the official cloud reading at Reykjavík Airport at 18:00 UTC on August 12, 2026. If that reading shows the sky is clear, nearly clear, or only lightly covered (the codes SKC, CLR, FEW, or SCT), it resolves Yes. If clouds are heavy or the sky is completely overcast (BKN, OVC, or VV), it resolves No. If that exact reading is missing, the rules fall back to the 17:00 or 19:00 UTC readings, and then to a nearby airport if needed. The two news items provided are about a solar company lawsuit and an unrelated protest, and neither has anything to do with this eclipse or Reykjavík weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is long-range weather forecasts for Iceland in August 2026, which will only become meaningful a week or so before the date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict this far out, and Iceland's weather is famously unpredictable even a few days ahead. August in Reykjavík brings a real mix: some clear days, some heavily overcast ones. The 50-50 odds reflect that honest uncertainty. The single hourly reading at one airport is also a narrow snapshot, so a fast-moving weather system could change everything in the final hours before that reading is taken.

The odds right now

• Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?49%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 12, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Reykjavík Airport (stationID:BIRK) METAR observation at 18:00 UTC on August 12, 2026 reports a Cloud Coverage Level 1 (skyc1) value of SKC, CLR, FEW, or SCT. This market will resolve to "No" if that observation reports BKN, OVC, or VV, or are missing after applying the rules listed below. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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