What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Tesla's stock price will touch specific price levels during one particular week of trading. There are three price targets listed, and each one is an independent question: will the stock reach at least $390 at any moment during that week (an upward move), and will it drop to $367.50 or $360 at any moment (downward moves)? Even a single brief spike or dip to that level counts, as long as it happens during normal market hours. Each price target settles as Yes if Tesla's stock touches that level during any single minute of regular trading hours, Monday through Friday the week of July 20, 2026. The data source is Pyth, a financial data service tracking 1-minute price intervals. Only moves during 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern time qualify. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Tesla does a stock split before then, all target prices adjust proportionally so the question stays fair. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be Tesla earnings reports, major product announcements, changes in EV policy or tariffs, and broader stock market movements, since any of those can move Tesla's price significantly in a short period. Tesla is one of the most volatile large stocks in the world, which makes short-term price targets genuinely hard to call. The market currently prices the $367.50 downside at 84% and the $390 upside at 51%, suggesting participants see a wide possible range for that week. A single news event, earnings release, or market-wide shift could push the stock in either direction quickly. With over a year until the deadline, a lot can change before that week even arrives.

The odds right now

• ↓ $367.5084%
• ↓ $36066%
• ↑ $39054%
• ↓ $352.5051%
• ↑ $397.5040%
• ↓ $34528%
• ↑ $40527%
• ↓ $337.5024%
• ↑ $412.5020%
• ↓ $33016%
• ↑ $42013%
• ↑ $427.508%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.