What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether the price of gold will reach certain specific levels during the trading week of July 20 to July 24, 2026. There are three separate price targets, each its own question: will gold climb as high as $4,050 (an upward target), fall as low as $3,950 (a downward target), or fall as low as $3,700 (a further downward target)? Each one resolves independently based on whether gold touches that level at any moment during that week. Each target resolves Yes if, at any point during that week's gold trading sessions, even a single one-minute price bar touches or crosses the listed level. The $4,050 target needs gold to reach that price or higher. The $3,950 and $3,700 targets need gold to drop to those prices or lower. The data comes from Pyth, a live price feed using one-minute candles. If Pyth is unavailable, official CME COMEX gold futures daily highs and lows serve as the backup source. None of the provided news headlines relate to gold prices, monetary policy, or economic conditions that would directly affect where gold trades next week. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would include central bank policy announcements, inflation data releases, major geopolitical events, or significant shifts in the US dollar, as those tend to move gold prices most noticeably. Gold prices can move sharply and unpredictably in response to events that are impossible to forecast in advance, such as surprise economic data or sudden geopolitical tension. The market currently prices the $4,050 upside at 67%, the $3,950 downside at 63%, and the $3,700 deeper downside at 50%, suggesting participants see meaningful probability across all three directions. That spread reflects genuine uncertainty about both direction and magnitude. A week is a short window, but gold can cover large distances in short periods, making all three outcomes plausible.

The odds right now

• ↑ $4,05066%
• ↓ $3,95055%
• ↑ $4,10031%
• ↓ $3,90019%
• ↑ $4,15014%
• ↓ $3,85011%
• ↑ $4,2505%
• ↓ $3,7505%
• ↓ $3,8004%
• ↑ $4,2003%
• ↑ $4,3002%
• ↓ $3,7002%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.