XRP above ___ on July 27?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether XRP, a cryptocurrency, will be trading above a specific dollar price on a specific future date. There are actually two separate price targets here: $1.10 (which the market currently sees as roughly a coin-flip, at 51%) and $1.20 (which the market sees as very unlikely, at just 1%). A Yes means XRP is above that price at noon on July 27, 2026. A No means it is at or below that price at that exact moment. Settlement is decided by one specific data point: the closing price of the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance, recorded at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026, using a one-minute price candle. That single minute's closing number is all that matters. It does not matter what XRP traded at earlier that day, or on other exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken. Only Binance, only that minute, only that close price. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for XRP would include regulatory decisions about its legal status (particularly in the United States), major exchange listings or delistings, broader cryptocurrency market trends, and any announcements from Ripple, the company closely associated with XRP. Cryptocurrency prices are genuinely hard to forecast more than a year out. The $1.10 target sits right near the current market price, which is why it lands close to 50/50. A lot can shift between now and July 2026: overall crypto market cycles, regulatory rulings, macroeconomic conditions, and sudden sentiment swings can all move XRP dramatically in either direction. The $1.20 target at 1% reflects that the market sees it as quite unlikely, so the real uncertainty there is mainly whether something unexpected and positive happens.

The odds right now

• 0.60100%
• 0.70100%
• 0.80100%
• 0.90100%
• 1.00100%
• 1.1054%
• 1.201%
• 1.300%
• 1.400%
• 1.500%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.