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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$38.0k 24h vol·politics
$12.3M total volume·Open for 174 days

December 31

17%+0.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
October 31
September 30
September 15
August 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
24.0¢207$50
23.0¢688$158
22.0¢8.3k$1.8k
21.0¢5.0k$1.0k
20.0¢1.0k$205
19.0¢4.7k$901
18.0¢1.5k$265
17.0¢520$88
17.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
16.0¢2.4k$384
15.0¢6.1k$910
14.0¢7.1k$992
13.0¢4.6k$596
12.0¢197$24
11.0¢1.2k$137
10.0¢2.1k$214
9.0¢1.0k$90
$3.3k bids$4.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.

December 31

17%