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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Resolves Oct 4, 2026·$3.7k 24h vol·politics
$3.7k total volume

Lula

91%+42.1%
OutcomeYesNo
Lula
Ronaldo Caiado
Clariana Barao
Edmilson Costa
Samara
Flavio Bolsonaro
Escritor Augusto Cury
Renan Santos
Rui Costa Pimenta
Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Order Book

Lula

PriceSharesTotal
99.8¢16$16
99.0¢405$401
98.9¢14$14
98.0¢233$228
97.9¢50$49
97.0¢104$101
96.5¢20$19
96.0¢25$24
89.2¢last trade
9.8¢ spread
86.2¢67$58
86.0¢44$38
85.5¢20$17
75.0¢20$15
40.0¢357$143
2.1¢6$0
2.0¢62$1
1.0¢55$1
$272 bids$852 asks

Resolution Criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Lula

88%