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Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Resolves Oct 4, 2026·$1.3k 24h vol·politics
$761 total volume

Lula

90%+5.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Lula
Flavio Bolsonaro
Ronaldo Caiado
Zema
Renan Santos
Escritor Augusto Cury
Edmilson Costa
Clariana Barao
Samara
Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Order Book

Lula

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢642$629
97.0¢129$125
96.0¢75$72
95.0¢51$49
94.0¢86$81
93.0¢74$69
92.0¢430$395
91.0¢44$40
88.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
89.0¢40$36
88.0¢534$470
87.0¢160$139
86.0¢20$17
71.0¢2.0k$1.4k
70.0¢100$70
44.0¢1.1k$489
7.0¢300$21
$2.7k bids$1.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Lula

90%