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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Resolves Oct 4, 2026·$688 24h vol·politics
$688 total volume

Flavio Bolsonaro

46%+1.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro
Lula
Pablo Marçal
Ronaldo Caiado
Hertz Dias
Renan Santos
Samara
Zema
Escritor Augusto Cury
Edmilson Costa

Order Book

Flavio Bolsonaro

PriceSharesTotal
88.0¢23$20
87.0¢33$28
86.0¢10$9
85.0¢85$72
84.0¢55$46
83.0¢20$17
82.0¢40$33
71.0¢20$14
50.0¢last trade
51.0¢ spread
20.0¢5$1
10.0¢21$2
7.0¢400$28
6.0¢20$1
1.0¢17$0
$32 bids$240 asks

Resolution Criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Flavio Bolsonaro

46%