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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Resolves Oct 4, 2026·$1.5k 24h vol·politics
$1.5k total volume

Flavio Bolsonaro

48%+3.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro
Ronaldo Caiado
Renan Santos
Clariana Barao
Edmilson Costa
Pablo Marçal
Rui Costa Pimenta
Hertz Dias
Lula
Zema

Order Book

Flavio Bolsonaro

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢45$43
94.0¢66$62
93.0¢34$32
90.0¢5$5
89.0¢7$6
85.0¢20$17
80.0¢7$6
75.0¢27$20
no trades yet
55.0¢ spread
20.0¢170$34
2.0¢1.2k$24
1.0¢17$0
$59 bids$191 asks

Resolution Criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Flavio Bolsonaro

54%