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ChatGPT Outage on...?

ChatGPT Outage on...?

Resolves Aug 14, 2026·$514 24h vol·tech
$514 total volume

August 11

19%-7.5%
OutcomeYesNo
August 11
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Order Book

August 11

PriceSharesTotal
84.0¢150$126
52.0¢20$10
35.0¢1.0k$350
31.0¢500$155
29.0¢400$116
27.0¢500$135
20.0¢192$38
19.0¢1.0k$199
16.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
18.0¢190$34
17.0¢110$19
8.0¢8$1
7.0¢300$21
6.0¢500$30
5.0¢1.0k$50
4.0¢3.5k$140
3.0¢2.8k$85
$380 bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' on the specified calendar day (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

August 11

19%