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Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$2.4k 24h vol·politics
$2.4k total volume

Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

9%-27.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

Order Book

Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
55.0¢20$11
24.0¢100$24
23.0¢20$5
22.0¢82$18
21.0¢101$21
20.0¢100$20
11.0¢8.0k$882
10.0¢502$50
10.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
7.0¢977$68
5.0¢8$0
4.0¢425$17
3.0¢772$23
2.0¢255$5
1.0¢289$3
$117 bids$1.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge's decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as he is held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: - Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) - Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant - Being formally booked or processed following detention - Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station - Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with his attorney - Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention: - An arrest warrant being issued but not executed - Being questioned or interviewed without arrest - Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

9%