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Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027·$10.1k 24h vol·politics
$8.8k total volume
OutcomeYesNo
March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
November 30, 2026

Order Book

March 31, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
74.0¢80$59
55.0¢20$11
45.0¢35$16
33.0¢5$2
32.0¢500$160
30.0¢89$27
29.0¢100$29
27.0¢677$183
26.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
26.0¢437$114
17.0¢236$40
16.0¢300$48
15.0¢849$127
14.0¢849$119
8.0¢6$0
7.0¢66$5
2.0¢14$0
$453 bids$486 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

March 31, 2027

27%