← Markets
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$580 24h vol·economy
$843 total volume·Open for 2 days

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

7%-42.7%
OutcomeYesNo
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Order Book

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
20.0¢10$2
17.0¢20$3
9.0¢100$9
8.9¢30$3
8.6¢88$8
8.3¢545$45
8.0¢93$7
7.9¢120$9
7.3¢last trade
1.2¢ spread
6.7¢16$1
5.7¢30$2
5.0¢75$4
4.4¢23$1
4.0¢20$1
3.0¢283$8
1.6¢15$0
1.5¢600$9
$26 bids$87 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

7%