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French Presidential Election First Round Winner

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Resolves Apr 18, 2027·$3.6k 24h vol·politics
$3.6k total volume

Marine Le Pen

82%+4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Marine Le Pen
Édouard Philippe
Raphaël Glucksmann
Sébastien Lecornu
Christine Lagarde
Bruno Retailleau
François Ruffin
François Hollande
Gabriel Attal
Sarah Knafo

Order Book

Marine Le Pen

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢5$5
92.0¢113$104
91.0¢12$11
87.0¢223$194
86.0¢654$562
84.0¢108$91
83.0¢161$133
82.0¢318$261
no trades yet
1.0¢ spread
81.0¢50$41
80.0¢114$91
79.0¢66$52
78.0¢1.2k$931
77.0¢40$31
71.0¢106$76
70.0¢220$154
62.0¢300$186
$1.6k bids$1.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Marine Le Pen

82%