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Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$483 24h vol·tech
$483 total volume

60%+

46%-1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
60%+
65%+
70%+
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80%+
90%+

Order Book

60%+

PriceSharesTotal
88.0¢5$5
84.0¢6$5
59.0¢27$16
58.0¢17$10
57.0¢30$17
53.0¢20$11
49.0¢53$26
48.0¢160$77
47.0¢last trade
4.0¢ spread
44.0¢40$18
43.0¢53$23
40.0¢140$56
12.0¢8$1
11.0¢64$7
9.0¢72$6
7.0¢104$7
4.0¢6$0
$118 bids$166 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

60%+

46%