← Markets
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 22?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$10.1k 24h vol·weather
$10.1k total volume

78-79°F

36%+5.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Los Angeles get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at the LAX weather station, and which two-degree range it falls into. A Yes on '78-79°F' means the hottest moment of that day lands somewhere between 78 and 79 degrees Fahrenheit, which is a mild, coastal-LA kind of summer day, not a heatwave, not unusually cool.

OutcomeYesNo
78-79°F
76-77°F
80-81°F
74-75°F
82-83°F
72-73°F
84-85°F
68-69°F
67°F or below
70-71°F

Order Book

78-79°F

PriceSharesTotal
46.0¢62$29
45.0¢7$3
44.0¢100$44
40.0¢5$2
39.0¢195$76
38.0¢1.3k$493
37.0¢1.9k$704
36.0¢364$131
36.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
35.0¢96$34
34.0¢1.2k$399
33.0¢1.3k$428
32.0¢590$189
31.0¢15$5
28.0¢5$1
27.0¢5$1
26.0¢106$27
$1.1k bids$1.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

78-79°F

36%