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How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Resolves Sep 20, 2026·$15.1k 24h vol·politics
$122.5k total volume·Open for 186 days

340–354

30%-2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
340–354
325–339
310–324
355+
<280
295–309
280–294

Order Book

340–354

PriceSharesTotal
41.0¢185$76
40.0¢30$12
39.0¢30$12
37.0¢50$19
36.0¢352$127
35.0¢100$35
34.0¢16$5
32.0¢300$96
31.0¢2.3k$719
30.0¢30$9
29.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
29.0¢5$1
28.0¢681$191
27.0¢1,000$270
26.0¢66$17
25.0¢300$75
24.0¢104$25
23.0¢5$1
21.0¢1.6k$328
20.0¢975$195
19.0¢2.6k$492
$1.6k bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

340–354

30%