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Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$534 24h vol·weather
$492 total volume

2800+

85%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
2800+
2825+
2850+

Order Book

2800+

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢23$23
98.0¢59$58
97.0¢31$30
88.0¢84$74
86.0¢31$27
85.0¢28$24
85.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
84.0¢220$185
83.0¢31$26
50.0¢300$150
25.0¢19$5
6.0¢10$1
5.0¢12$1
4.0¢5$0
3.0¢1.0k$30
$397 bids$235 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

2800+

85%