
Meta (META) closes above ___ on July 24?
$590
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Understand this market
This market is asking whether Meta's stock price will finish above a specific dollar amount at the close of trading on July 24, 2026. There are three separate price targets: $590, $600, and $610. Each one is its own question. A Yes means Meta's stock closes above that number on that day. A No means it closes at or below it. The three targets let you see how confident the market is across a range of outcomes.
The result is decided by Meta's official closing price on July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. If the price is strictly higher than the target, it resolves Yes. Equal or lower means No. One important edge case: if July 24 falls on a non-trading day, the market settles at 50-50 instead of Yes or No. A stock split would adjust the target price proportionally, so the goalposts move with the stock.
None of the provided news headlines relate to Meta Platforms or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments worth watching would be Meta's earnings reports, major product announcements, changes in digital advertising revenue, or broader shifts in tech stock sentiment leading up to July 2026.
Stock prices a year out are genuinely hard to pin down. The market currently prices a close above $590 at 92%, above $600 at 63%, and above $610 at only 18%, which shows how quickly confidence drops as the target rises. A lot can change between now and July 2026: earnings surprises, regulatory moves, economic shifts, or a broad market downturn. The wide spread across the three prices reflects real uncertainty about exactly where the stock lands.
Order Book
$590
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 24, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
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$590
96%