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New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Resolves Nov 8, 2026·$15.9k 24h vol·politics
$80.6k total volume·Open for 174 days

Labour Party

51%-4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Labour Party
National Party
New Zealand First Party
Green Party
ACT New Zealand
Te Pāti Māori

Order Book

Labour Party

PriceSharesTotal
58.0¢958$556
57.0¢1.5k$840
56.0¢1.4k$776
55.0¢1.5k$811
54.0¢2.8k$1.5k
53.0¢770$408
52.0¢116$60
51.0¢50$26
no trades yet
2.0¢ spread
49.0¢110$54
48.0¢361$173
47.0¢10$5
42.0¢32$13
41.0¢35$14
40.0¢283$113
31.0¢518$161
30.0¢355$107
$640 bids$5.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Labour Party

50%