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Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$364 24h vol·tech
$2.1k total volume·Open for 14 days

October 31

61%+13.5%
OutcomeYesNo
October 31
December 31
August 31

Order Book

October 31

PriceSharesTotal
88.0¢58$51
87.0¢62$54
84.0¢200$168
83.0¢200$166
82.0¢200$164
81.0¢10$8
80.0¢10$8
79.0¢18$14
76.0¢last trade
37.0¢ spread
42.0¢59$25
41.0¢20$8
39.0¢7$3
38.0¢10$4
36.0¢63$23
29.0¢52$15
28.0¢58$16
24.0¢90$22
$115 bids$633 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

October 31

61%