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Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

Resolves Mar 1, 2027·$458 24h vol·politics
$458 total volume

Israel Katz

40%-3.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Israel Katz
Ayelet Shaked
No Next Minister by Feb 28
Yariv Levin
Aryeh Deri
Moshe Arbel

Order Book

Israel Katz

PriceSharesTotal
93.0¢167$156
92.0¢50$46
89.0¢9$8
84.0¢6$5
83.0¢5$5
81.0¢55$45
80.0¢40$32
52.0¢105$54
no trades yet
25.0¢ spread
27.0¢23$6
26.0¢46$12
15.0¢20$3
12.0¢41$5
1.0¢26$0
$26 bids$350 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Israel Katz

33%