← Markets
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$461 24h vol·tech
$461 total volume·Open for 8 days

December 31

89%+38.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
October 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢223$221
98.0¢127$124
97.0¢7$7
95.0¢273$259
93.0¢last trade
13.0¢ spread
82.0¢6$5
81.0¢11$9
80.0¢20$16
77.0¢50$39
76.0¢15$11
74.0¢9$7
70.0¢40$28
69.0¢20$14
$129 bids$611 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31

89%