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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027·$0 24h vol·politics
$246.2k total volume·Open for 69 days

March 31, 2027

23%-27.0%
OutcomeYesNo
March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

March 31, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
61.0¢47$29
60.0¢200$120
50.0¢80$40
49.0¢14$7
39.0¢80$31
26.0¢20$5
25.0¢148$37
24.0¢327$78
25.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
22.0¢300$66
21.0¢299$63
20.0¢342$68
19.0¢20$4
16.0¢100$16
14.0¢1.1k$151
13.0¢550$72
11.0¢61$7
$447 bids$347 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

March 31, 2027

23%