← Markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026·$335 24h vol·politics
$335 total volume

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

11%-16.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Order Book

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢20$10
47.0¢100$47
40.0¢60$24
30.0¢20$6
20.0¢20$4
13.0¢23$3
12.0¢1.1k$127
11.0¢144$16
11.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
10.0¢20$2
9.0¢285$26
8.0¢188$15
7.0¢555$39
6.0¢1.6k$94
5.0¢1.0k$50
4.0¢7$0
3.0¢500$15
$240 bids$236 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

11%