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Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$36 24h vol·tech
$2.8k total volume·Open for 76 days

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

12%-19.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Order Book

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
30.0¢40$12
28.0¢105$29
27.0¢10$3
17.0¢13$2
16.0¢201$32
15.0¢236$35
14.0¢855$120
13.0¢373$48
11.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
11.0¢158$17
10.0¢323$32
9.0¢168$15
8.0¢354$28
7.0¢226$16
3.0¢117$3
2.0¢341$7
$119 bids$282 asks

Resolution Criteria

If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

12%