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Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Resolves Jan 1, 2029·$5.0k 24h vol·tech
$5.0k total volume

December 31, 2028

52%+1.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2028
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2028

PriceSharesTotal
67.0¢100$67
62.0¢5$3
59.0¢149$88
57.0¢20$11
56.0¢30$17
55.0¢15$8
53.0¢40$21
52.0¢42$22
51.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
51.0¢5$3
50.0¢5$3
49.0¢5$2
46.0¢20$9
44.0¢100$44
19.0¢106$20
18.0¢70$13
17.0¢236$40
$134 bids$238 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

December 31, 2028

52%