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SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$6 24h vol·tech
$8.2k total volume·Open for 72 days

June 30, 2027

76%-6.0%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
August 31, 2026

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢410$406
98.0¢300$294
97.0¢25$24
92.0¢11$10
91.0¢78$71
72.0¢last trade
30.0¢ spread
61.0¢55$34
42.0¢19$8
41.0¢17$7
40.0¢5$2
39.0¢1.0k$390
19.0¢110$21
12.0¢114$14
11.0¢190$21
$496 bids$805 asks

Resolution Criteria

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

June 30, 2027

76%