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Trump approval rating on August 7?

Trump approval rating on August 7?

Resolves Aug 7, 2026·$203 24h vol·politics
$299 total volume·Open for 3 days

37.5–37.9

39%-8.0%
OutcomeYesNo
37.5–37.9
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
37.0–37.4
<37.0
39.0+

Order Book

37.5–37.9

PriceSharesTotal
86.0¢30$26
85.0¢50$43
84.0¢8$7
78.0¢20$16
72.0¢62$45
71.0¢20$14
70.0¢40$28
62.0¢117$73
33.0¢last trade
46.0¢ spread
16.0¢45$7
15.0¢20$3
9.0¢30$3
7.0¢20$1
6.0¢50$3
5.0¢60$3
4.0¢50$2
3.0¢100$3
$25 bids$250 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

37.5–37.9

39%